Tag Archives: polling

Polling on the “Ground Zero Mosque”

Tom Scocca rounds up polling about the Cordoba center, and he rounds up how different demographics feel about it. Interesting to me: a) the biggest supporters are Manhattanites (you know, the people who will actually be affected), b) a majority of people under 45 support it, and c) a majority of men support it.

Go Ahead, Build It Already

+23 NYC Borough – Manhattan (55 percent for – 32 percent against)

We Guess It’s Probably OK

+4 Political Ideology – Liberal (44 – 40)
+3 Age – Under 45 (44 – 41)
+1 Gender – Men  (43 – 42)

We’d Guess We’d Rather You Didn’t Build It

-2 Education – College graduate (42 – 44)
-7 Race – African American  (39 – 46)
-7 Religion – Protestant (38 – 45)
-8 Household Income – $50,000 or More (39 – 47)

Please Consider Not Building It

-10 Party Registration – Democrat (37 – 47)
-10 Party Registration – Non-enrolled (37 – 47)
-13 Race – Latino (32 – 45)

-16 Registered Voters (34 – 50)

Don’t Build It

-23 White Catholic status – Not White Catholic (29 – 52)
-23 NYC Borough – Queens and Staten Island (33 – 56)
-24 Political Ideology – Moderate (33 – 57)
-24 Household Income – Less than $50,000 (30 – 54)
-28 NYC Borough – Brooklyn (28 – 56)

Don’t Even Think About Building It

-30 NYC Borough – Bronx (19 – 49)
-31 Gender – Women (26 – 57)
-31 Age – 45 or older (27 – 58)
-31 Education – Not college graduate (26 – 57)
-33 Political Ideology – Conservative (24 – 57)
-35 Religion – Catholic (24 – 59)
-38 Race – White (25 – 63)

How Dare You Even Suggest Building It?

-48 Religion – Jewish (19 – 67)
-48 Party Registration – Republican (20 – 68)

Nobody Hates This Project More Than We Do

-58 White Catholic status – White Catholics (19 – 77)

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Support for Health Care Reform rising

Ratings for Obama and the Democrats have been ticking downward for the past month (After remaining stable for several months before that). But their biggest achievement, the maligned Health Care Reform, is getting more popular. From Pollster.com:.

 Support for Health Care Reform rising

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Some poll somewhere says something

A USA Today/Gallup poll finds Americans 49% to 40% in favor of health care reform. Should we blow this out of proportion? I think yes.

Via Wonkette

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Obama Will Win. Probably. Very Probably.

Here’s why the polls might be wrong and why they are probably not.

Of course, if the trustworthy polls continue showing Obama ahead and McCain wins, it would be a monumental failure for political scientists, reporters and pollsters alike — an indictment worse than New Hampshire, worse even than 1948. I think the quality pollsters have done a good, professional job this year. I dont think well get bitten. Even so, Ill be a little worried until its all over. Im not sure what kind of night Ill have on Tuesday. But Im sure Im going to have a nervous one on Monday.

via Real Clear Politics

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